07-28-2024, 10:36 AM
(07-27-2024, 10:55 PM)CHOW CHOW wrote: There's a decent chance the Vance pick ends up costing Trump the election. He doesn't bring in any new voters, he overlaps with Trump. And he might have turned off women voters with his rhetoric. Trump would've never picked Vance if he knew he was running against Harris. Dems played 4D chess and I'm loving it. Benji, we need a Kamala emote.
I'm not sure. Some argue that because the left attacks and hates him so much it makes him more popular among the right.
It all seems to be a part of a difference opinion on the strategy. Some in the Trump camp want Trump to move to the center, try and expand his voter base, while others want him to double down on MAGA. The 2020 race was really close, so they argue that if Trump just gets another 2% or 3% of mostly middle class white voters in the rustbelt states he'll win easily. It seems that Trump decided that he will try to expand his voter base but that he won't be 'nice' (change his tone) doing it.
Overall the conditions of this race are still more favorable to Trump and the betting markets haven't moved much.
Unlike in 2020 the campaign chest isn't looted by his campaign manager and he is backed by big names from the media, tech and business world and not just going out there on his own.
The Democrats seem to have shifted too, trying to get more women to vote instead of appealing to middle class workers like Biden did.
They have a couple of policy minefields though. Climate groups are calling for Kamala to become the Climate Candidate, while she distanced herself from the fracking bans she advocated for earlier. There is also the mess in Gaza that is important for quite a few lefties. Not to mention migration and inflation. Biden got a 'free pass' on some what they consider to be 'outdated' ideas because of his age and Kamala won't.
One thing that the Kamala campaign is doing that is more effective than saying Trump is a "Threat to Democracy" is to put out statements that Trump and Vance are weird.
