Journal of Other Forum Analysis (Volume II, Issue 1)

[Hap Shaughnessy]

https://www.resetera.com/threads/us-politics-ot-4-dont-complain-do-something.962805/page-1257#post-131034531

User banned (2 weeks): inflammatory accusations toward other members

My big fear is how people in Dearborn MI in particular are on the record (as recently as yesterday with NPR) noting they would vote stein/abstain from harris due to how Gaza is being handled.

I think there's 200K arab americans in MI? That's enough to swing it if this was 2020-2 and they mostly broke against harris, which is why i'm nervous about it. I absolutely wanna be wrong, trust me! I just have that bad anxiety/feeling. For contrast i'm only slightly less nervous about WI, and a bit optimistic about PA/GA.

No shade to those who are really concerned about the issue as it is absolutely an international crisis- but Gaza and Foreign policy is so low on the radar of things that US voters give a damn about that it will absolutely not be a significant factor in the election.

Are some muslim/arab voters making noise about this? Certainly. But it is also the case that many of those same voters are EXTREMELY SOCIALLY CONSERVATIVE and using that issue to mask a dissatisfaction with the Dem party on LGBT issues, which has been an ongoing thing there for quite some time.

The biden/harris administration could absolutely have been better in reining in Netanyahu and his response to Palestinians in Gaza, but Trump has been vocally and frequently on record as stating Democrats are holding israel back, and he will encourage a scorched earth response if that's what Bibi wants to do. Anyone remotely considering not voting at all or voting for Trump on this issue is not a serious person and not a constituency the Harris campaign should be spending any time catering to.